“Crushed Demo Has Achieved A Lot Of Political Dividends”
17 August 2019
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By Tinashe Eric Muzamhindo: In a political narrative, Mnangagwa has scored an own politically, MDC Chamisa has achieved some political dividends by piling pressure on the Zimbabwe leader.

There are many narratives which must be tackled with a comprehensive research and analysis basing on the political indicators.

Political indicator 1

I earlier on repatriated that ED would not allow the demo to proceed basing on the consequences leading to his ouster. Remember ED is there because of November 17, 2017. ED faces political and economic hurdles.

Mnangagwa is not safe basing on the internal rifes within Zanu PF, he has G40 to handle, on the other hand he wants to consolidate the military wing and at the same opposition is piling pressure. What ED was not sure, is the coordination of opposition and other forces within Zanu PF.

Political Indicator 2

If you remember very well ED was using ZACC, to punish his perceived opponents from the G40 camp and also military wing backing the ailing Vice President, Chiwenga. So what ED was not sure of was the coordination between those targeted by Zacc and other forces and opposition forces.

There were fears within ED’s camp that this coordination would spill countrywide. As we speak there are a lot of fights within Zanu PF and for now, noone is close to ED.

He is not sure who is on his side except a few stalwarts like July Moyo, Energy Mutodi, Mutsvangwa Monica and a few notable ones. For ED the demo was a wrong timing considering that he is assuming SADC troika chairmanship, he wanted a clean sheet.

Political Indicator 3

Zimbabwe economy is literally dead and this is giving Mnangagwa torrid times. They don’t know how to manage the situation.

The economic situation is a threat to political stability in Zimbabwe. Remember the economy is affecting people across political divide. Noone is being spared by the economy.

Political Indicator 4 – Chamisa, Sikhala and Biti momentum

One of the Zanu PF headaches is the trio in the MDC top leadership. Sikhala is an energizer, Biti is strategic and Chamisa is diplomatic. Zanu PF is not comfortable with the three, considering the fall of Mugabe in 2008 as a result of Biti’s political roadmap.

The Chamisa momentum, is more dangerous to Mnangagwa considering that Chamisa is an appeal to many people across political divide. Don’t forget that Chamisa was voted by people from across political divide.

Maintainance Order Bill

Mnangagwa is likely to face International pressure after hurriedly taking the MOB bill to Parliament. The idea is to stop demos using various reasons until the bill has been passed into Law.

ED is aware that there will be series of protests countrywide and he could be toppled anytime through these protests, so he wants to use the MOB to curb protests and also deal with any perceived opponents to his regime.

ED is not sure of the Opposition’s next move so he wants the bill debated so that it is enacted into Law. What I can assure you is that Mnangagwa will face political pressure from both International Community and local civic leaders.

I’m not sure who is advising ED for now but he has messed up big time and he may face serious problems that can curtail his Presidency.

Regional leaders and International Community

There is isn’t much to expect from regional or SADC leaders considering that they will try by all means to protect each other. Mnangagwa is likely to face International pressure from world leaders over gross Human Rights abuses and using the military on unarmed civilians.

Going by what is happening right now, Mnangagwa is following Mugabe foot steps and this will lead to his downfall. In a nutshell I would like to say Zimbabwe will bounce back on the political spotlight and soon it will be on Africa Union agenda , judging by what happened on the streets of Harare.

ED has put a dent on his Presidency and legacy. Infact he has perfected the art of oppression and repression on his opponents.