By Kudzai Mutisi| Your Excellency, Zimbabwe is my country of birth and, as such, it is natural that I am interested in what is happening or not happening there. Many Zimbabweans celebrated your ascension to power in November 2017 because, for them, it was an opportunity for launching a new political and economic dispensation. It is now 2 years and 5 months with you as the president of Zimbabwe, is there anything to celebrate?
The same bus with a new driver
Your excellency, when you were sworn in as the president of Zimbabwe in November 2017, your critics dismissed the change of leadership as nothing but a mere change of the bus driver while the bus remained the same.
They were right to some extent. You simply replaced Robert Mugabe as leader of ZANU PF and Zimbabwe. ZANU PF remained the governing party and Zimbabwe remained the governed country.
Is the change of the bus driver trivial?
The change of the bus driver can either be an inconsequential affair or a significant one. It is inconsequential if the new driver continues in the same direction and with the same speed as the old driver. Scientifically speaking, the change of the bus driver is trivial if the new driver continues with the same velocity as the old driver.
On the other hand, the change of the bus driver can be a very significant affair if the new driver continues in a different direction and with a different speed. In this case, the direction can either be the right direction or the wrong direction.But, Your Excellency, governance can’t be compared to the simple analogy of a bus and its driver.
Governance is an inherently important matter and, as such, the direction taken has serious consequences on the government and the governed. It is only right that, time and again, we take a pause and ask: whither are we bound?
The beginning of the second republic was awesome in many ways. You said all the right things and, to a greater extent, did all the good things. It was encouraging to hear you denouncing all the actions and inactions that ‘brought us to where we are.’ Your experience in government gave many Zimbabweans confidence that their new president knows what works and what does not work.Since you were finishing the presidential term of Robert Mugabe, most of us did not expect drastic changes politically and economically. Nevertheless, you ran a clean election campaign with a great manifesto.
The political ecosystem before and during the elections was perfect for democracy.On the economic front, the pre-election period saw an influx of investors flocking to Zimbabwe. Some of these investors have already started implementing their projects. In addition, some pending projects from the Mugabe era were also revived in the early days of your presidency. For example, most of the Chinese deals signed by President Mugabe in 2013 were revived and implemented after your visit to China.The coming of the second republic also saw lots of international goodwill towards Zimbabwe.
Several envoys and delegations from Western countries flew to Zimbabwe signalling a thawing of the previously frosty relations between Zimbabwe and the West. Moreover, Zimbabwe’s traditional allies were very supportive and swiftly embraced your presidency.
Your Excellency, as early as December 2017, barely a month after your inauguration, Zimbabweans witnessed an unprecedented upgrading of roads in urban and rural areas. Dam projects that had stalled for years were revived. Some bridges that were damaged as far back as 2000 were repaired. In many ways, we saw your desire to build and rebuild Zimbabwe’s infrastructure.
The post-election period
Despite the ugly events of 1 August 2018 and the tensions thereafter, you showed good leadership by calling upon your election rivals to work with you for the good of Zimbabwe. You also appointed the Montlanthe commission to deal with the unfortunate events of August 1.
After your inauguration, you appointed a cabinet with several technocrats and new faces. If anything, this was a great move on your part. To many Zimbabweans, this was a sign that our new bus driver is eager to take us in a new direction.The Transitional Stabilization Program launched in October 2020 as the government’s economic blueprint had all the good things needed to put Zimbabwe on a growth path.
In other words, the TSP was the embodiment of good policies needed to bring prosperity to Zimbabwe or any other country.After a full year of unpopular austerity, many economic indicators were coming right. From September to October 2019, the Zimbabwe dollar had largely stabilized. This period also a stabilization of prices of goods and services. In addition to this, the country also witnessed an unprecedented narrowing of the trade deficit.
On the fiscal side, the government’s books were in good order. In fact, the government achieved a budget surplus in 2019 for the first time in more than a decade.
The big mistakes of your presidency
Your Excellency, the major difference between successful and failed states is their approach to policy formulation and its implementation. The economic turmoil currently obtaining in Zimbabwe can be traced back to adoption of bad policies, piece-meal implementation of good policies, and policy inconsistency.
Mr President, good policies in themselves don’t produce good results if not implemented and implemented well. The piecemeal implementation of policies creates uncertainty and confusion. The reversal of good policies destroys investor confidence in our economy. Here are some of the big mistakes of your presidency:
The forex market
The introduction of the interbank market in February 2019 was an exciting moment for local and foreign investors. If anything, it signalled your determination to return the Zimbabwean economy to normalcy.
However, the excitement quickly evaporated when the Reserve Bank kept interfering with the market in a series of incoherent policy introductions and reversals.Your Excellency, Zimbabwe receives more foreign currency than most countries in Africa. Just like fuel and maize meal, there is no shortage of foreign currency in Zimbabwe, but there is no functional forex market. Again, just like in the fuel and mealie meal issue, the government is distorting the market through its communist policies.
A transparent and efficient forex trading platform is key in ensuring the efficient distribution of foreign currency in the economy. As it stands, businesses and investors either have to rely on the black market or the ‘mercy’ of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe for foreign currency.
Who, in their right mind, would want to invest in such an economy? You always say capital goes where it finds comfort, but your government has dismally failed to provide the basic things that gives comfort to capital!
The currency problem
The Zimbabwe dollar was formally reintroduced as a currency in June 2019. Despite the introduction of the Zimbabwe dollar as the sole legal tender, the government made no effort to introduce new Zim Dollar notes and coins with sufficiently high denominations.
Why keep people stuck in the ‘bond note’ mode that they so much despised? A smart government makes one bold decision to abandon the past instead of sitting on the proverbial fence.Your Excellency, corruption is endemic in our societies. When government officials like the Reserve Bank governor deliberately create inconvenience to the general citizenry, it is usually meant to benefit them.
There is no reason for cash shortages in banks except that it benefits those with access to cash.The shortage of cash and the resulting cash premium has made the Zimbabwean dollar unattractive as a currency. The reckless printing of money to fund fuel, mealie meal, and electricity subsidies is causing runaway inflation and currency depreciation. Such reckless actions of your government are causing real pain to ordinary citizens.
People’s savings have been wiped out by inflation. How can an ordinary citizen save money to start a business when, time and again, her savings are wiped away by government induced inflation?Mr President, even the poorest countries in this world have their own currencies that are largely stable. It is possible for Zimbabwe to have a stable currency, the government must follow proper economics, not the failed communism of the 20th century. You have economic experts in government and outside, listen to them!
Inefficient subsidies
Fuel queues are now the norm in Zimbabwe. These queues, like most of the queues in Zimbabwe, are not caused by the shortage of fuel, they are caused by market distortion. Zimbabwe has enough fuel, but it is channelled to the black market where it is sold at higher prices than at fuel garages.In many ways, most Zimbabweans buy the fuel at the black-market prices. This means the government is subsidising fuel only for the benefit of fuel companies and a few other black-market traders.Since the introduction of the mealie meal subsidy, long queues of people waiting to buy the subsidized roller meal have become the norm.
These queues are only found in the big supermarkets that sell the mealie meal at the recommended price. The bulk of the maize meal is diverted to the black where it is sold at higher prices. In the end, the majority of Zimbabweans buy the subsidised product at market price even though the government paid the subsidy to millers.
Mr President, the intention of the subsidy programs might be good, but the model is bad. The only people benefitting from the subsidies are the fuel dealers, the grain millers, and some well connected queuepreneurs (queuepreneurs are people who queue to buy the subsidised goods for resale on the black market).
The continuation of these subsidies has substantially eroded confidence in your government, locally and internationally. The IMF monitors attributed the continuation of these subsidies to ‘vested interests.’ Locally, many Zimbabweans believe that the continuation of the fuel subsidies is meant to benefit the so-called ‘fuel dealers’ while the continuation of the maize meal is meant to benefit the ‘grain millers’ cartel.
Indeed, fuel companies and grain millers are the ones benefitting from these subsidies.Have you chosen to be the president of the few? Why continue wasting taxpayer money on subsidies that, in effect, lead to unjust enrichment of a few people at the expense of the majority?
The land issue
The land reform program is irreversible and was largely successful. Since all agricultural land now belong to the state, the government should prioritise productivity above anything else.
Foreign and local investors should be given the opportunity to invest in agriculture freely. In this regard, the government should provide a mechanism through which local and foreign investors can apply for access to agricultural land for a certain period.
This will ensure that land is in the hands of people who are willing and capable of utilising the land productively.Your excellency, there is absolutely nothing wrong with leasing state land to former white farmers or foreign investors. What is important is that the land now belongs to the state, everyone else will only have access not ownership. Zimbabwe must cease being a house of hunger; we have enough land and water to grow enough food for the nation.
Social safety nets
Even the most capitalist governments in the world provide social safety nets for the vulnerable groups. These groups include the elderly, orphans, the disabled, widows and the unemployed.
Your Excellency, apart from the random acts of charity done by the First Lady and other government officials, the vulnerable groups have largely been ignored by your government. The government, through the Ministry of Social Welfare, should have well designed policies and programs to help the vulnerable in our midst.
The money being wasted on fuel and the mealie-meal subsidy should be directed to these groups.As much as I am strong proponent of free markets, I am cognisant of the fact that some people will be left behind. These people will always require the assistance of the government. There is need for a concrete government policy on the assistance of vulnerable citizens. Poor people shouldn’t be left at the mercy of politicians and NGOs, the government should provide budgeted and targeted assistance to them.
Zimbabwe can afford to do so; the government should just stop wasting public money enriching a few businesspeople.
Infrastructural development
Mr President, Zimbabwe needs good roads, railways, new schools, new hospitals and, power stations. These are public goods that private capital may not be interested in funding. Instead of wasting public money on inefficient subsidies, the government should focus on building infrastructure and create more direct and indirect jobs.
For many Zimbabweans, it really doesn’t matter who gets the tenders for infrastructure projects, all they want to see is good infrastructure. Mr President, during the 2023 elections, you can brag about the infrastructure you built, but you can’t brag about food subsidies that people never benefitted from. In fact, people prefer jobs than handouts from the government.Without proper infrastructure, Zimbabwe would be closed for business. Many Zimbabweans were encouraged by your government’s initial thrust in building roads and bridges, you need to accelerate such projects now and into the future.
The government can explore other funding models like BOT arrangements with local and international companies. In the end, there must be significant infrastructural development in Zimbabwe!
Foreign policy
Your Excellency, Zimbabwe’s foreign policy is outdated. It is important that we move away from the foreign policy of the Cold War era. There is no benefit derived from befriending weak and pariah states that have no political and economic clout on the world stage.
Our foreign policy should put the interests of Zimbabwe first. As much as we love Palestinians and Yasser Arafat, we can benefit more from befriending Israel! After you were invited to Israel by the Israeli Foreign Minister, I expected you to accept the invitation, but you didn’t.
Zimbabwe has a lot to benefit from Israel’s agricultural technology and Israel’s diplomatic clout. What is it that we benefit from being close to North Korea, Syria, Iran, Cuba, and Palestine? We can still have good relations with these countries while opening new relationships.Zimbabwe’s pariah status is cemented and perpetuated by the way we vote in the United Nations. Many a time, we choose to vote with the rogue nations of this world.
It is high time we separate our nation from these pariah states and join the normal world.Mr President, diplomatic clout comes from economic clout. We can only be taken seriously by other countries if our economy is doing well. As it is, we are the sick man of our region. Even our neighbouring countries laugh at us because of the crappy economic policies we embrace. It is time to restore the dignity of Zimbabweans wherever they are!
Political and legal accountability
Your Excellency, in all successful countries, people and organisations that flout laws/regulations are held accountable for their actions through the justice system. In the same manner, public officials and civil servants who fail to discharge their mandate are forced to resign or are fired.
This is a culture that your government has failed to promote.The White City bombing was a huge security breach that claimed the lives of several Zimbabweans and injured top government officials yet, to date, nobody was held accountable for it. Those in charge of security before and during the event were supposed to be held accountable for failing to prevent the security breach. You were supposed to fire some people at least.On the business front, companies flout government regulations at will. The government must be strict in enforcing its own regulations/policies.
Market discipline has to be instilled. The best way to instil market discipline is to charge huge fines to those companies that flout regulations. The government must never control the market, government must only regulate the market!
Mr President, Zimbabwean security forces have been a source of international embarrassment for the government and the nation at large. Many a time, security officers have acted beyond the limits of their mandate and thus creating unnecessary negativity against the country.
However, these incidences are never unique to Zimbabwe. All over the world, police and military brutality are common. What is important is to hold them accountable for their actions. This, again, is a culture that we need as Zimbabweans. We should never allow impunity to be the norm!
Economic model
When you took over from Robert Mugabe, many observers described you as a proponent of free markets. This, to me, was a breath of fresh air after years of the failed communist policies of the Mugabe era.
Mr President, you signalled the desire to establish a free market economy in the early days of your presidency as you chanted the ‘Zimbabwe is open for business’ slogan. Sadly, it turned out to be an empty slogan because of the reluctance of your government to make bold policy decisions that would open Zimbabwe for business.
Zimbabwe is not open for business if it does not have an open and transparent forex market. Foreign investors want to invest in a country where they can easily and freely turn their profits into foreign currency for repatriation.
There is no reason for delaying the implementation of a managed floating exchange rate policy. The delay is destroying the Zimbabwean economy!Zimbabwe is not open for business if the government is actively involved in creating massive market distortions through inefficient subsidies. Zimbabwe can only be open for business if government leaves the market alone and focus on collecting taxes, regulating the market, and providing incentives to businesses.
Your Excellency, it is important that you establish yourself as a supporter of a free market economy with targeted social safety nets for vulnerable groups. Countries with free market economies are thriving while those that love communism are the poorest countries.
A cabinet shakeup
Your Excellency, most of your ministers are underperforming or not performing at all. The young Ministers you appointed are invisible, tired and have no new initiative to their names. They have nothing to show for the time they have been in office so far.Zimbabweans don’t care about propaganda and rosy reports from ministers, they want to see meaningful change in their lives.
The finance minister can harp about a balanced budget but that doesn’t mean anything to a civil servant struggling to pay his bills. The minister of energy can brag about paying off the Eskom debt, but it means nothing to a citizen experiencing more than 8 hours of load shedding. Mr President, we can’t say we have a minister of home affairs, yet citizens struggle to get passports and ID cards.
The performance of ministers should be linked to real change in the lived realities of our people.With almost 2 years into your 5-year mandate, it is time to shake up your cabinet and bring life to it. There are lots of capable people in parliament and outside who can be better ministers than some of your current ministers. Zimbabweans deserve ministers that are accessible, responsive, and visible.
In the digital era, cabinet ministers should be active on social media and regularly interact with citizens. Apart from posting pictures of unproductive functions, there is nothing useful posted by the majority of your ministers. Zimbabweans deserve better!In order to broaden the choice for ministers, I suggest that the constitution be amended to allow the president to appoint as many non-MP ministers as he wishes. In fact, Ministers shouldn’t be MPs at all.
If an MP is appointed a minister, she should cease to be an MP and be replaced by someone appointed/elected by the party/people. Zimbabweans deserve capable ministers, not incompetent partisan appointees.Mr President, your two and half years in power have shown us that you can take Zimbabwe in the right direction. In the first 2 years, your government largely implemented good policies required to make Zimbabwe a prosperous country.
Sadly, the last four months saw the complete reversal of those good policies in favour of meaningless communist policies. Your government introduced very inefficient subsidies, scaled back infrastructure projects, reversed the monocurrency regime, and delayed the introduction of the managed floating exchange rate policy. All the good work of the first two years of your presidency have been thrown down the drain.Your Excellency, you are on the wrong path.
Zimbabwe will not prosper unless you change the way your government is operating. Most of your government’s policies are uniquely Zimbabwean, no other country has such self-destructive policies. ZANU PF has a whopping two thirds majority in parliament, you have the ability to implement good laws/policies and to repeal/amend bad laws/laws without any hindrance. You have nobody but yourself to blame if you fail to enact good laws and implement good policies, the people gave you a very strong mandate!
Like this:
Like Loading...